FREE TOOL

PROP FIRM CHALLENGE CALCULATOR

Model your probability of passing a prop firm challenge based on your win rate, R:R ratio, and risk per trade. Monte Carlo simulation with 2,000 runs.

Target 10% · Daily DD 5% · Max DD 10% · Min 4 days

PROBABILITY OF PASSING
99.4%

Verdict: HIGH PROBABILITY

Drawdown breach rate: 0.7% · Based on 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations

HOW TO IMPROVE YOUR ODDS

  • Lower your risk per trade. Dropping from 2% to 1% risk per trade typically increases pass probability by 15–30% because fewer losing streaks breach the daily drawdown.
  • Improve R:R before win rate. Going from 1:1.5 to 1:2 R:R has a bigger effect on pass probability than improving win rate by 5 percentage points.
  • Trade less per day. Reducing trades from 5/day to 3/day often increases pass probability because overtrading correlates with behavioral errors.
  • Track real-time drawdown. Most failures come from not knowing you're 0.5% away from breach. Get your Discipline Score to see if your risk management is in place.

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CHECK YOUR DISCIPLINE BEFORE YOU PAY

Free Discipline Score. 60 seconds.

GET YOUR FREE SCORE